ARA Beer · Q3 2026 · Full Shelf Diagnostic · Q2→Q3 movement

Beer is the most closed shelf we have measured.

Why these three lead the shelf
1. Coronachosen 19× / 7.8% / 4/4 models

Named on the occasion questions rather than the taste ones: what to bring, what to drink on a beach. The situation is already attached to the brand.

2. Heinekenchosen 17× / 7.0% / 4/4 models

Present across the widest spread of questions of any beer here, which is what a century of unbroken distribution reads like in text.

3. Modelochosen 12× / 4.9% / 4/4 models

Most often named in answer to what is worth paying more for: a claim it has spent a decade making explicitly rather than implying.

About the AI Shelf
The AI Shelf is the short list of names an AI assistant gives when someone asks what to buy. ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini and Perplexity answer the questions a real buyer asks, and every brand they name lands on the shelf. Your customer sees it before they see yours, and nobody can pay for position on it.
Each time a model chooses a brand over every other brand it could have named, that counts once. 243 choices were made here. Slice size is share of all of them.
61.4% → 66.7%cohort share, Q2 to Q3
82 → 75distinct brands named
12 of 12largest holdings are cohort brands
The takeaway
The top of this shelf belongs to brands with an occasion attached. Corona, Heineken and Modelo are not the best-reviewed beers in the category: they are the ones tied to a moment a question can name.
ARA Corona — 19 placements (7.8%) · 4/4 models (Cl, GPT, Gm, Px) · 7 of 11 queries · best rank #1 · vs Q2: Q2 13 → Q3 19 (+6)Heineken — 17 placements (7.0%) · 4/4 models (Cl, GPT, Gm, Px) · 7 of 11 queries · best rank #1 · vs Q2: Q2 16 → Q3 17 (+1)Budweiser — 12 placements (4.9%) · 4/4 models (Cl, GPT, Gm, Px) · 5 of 11 queries · best rank #1 · vs Q2: Q2 9 → Q3 12 (+3)Modelo — 12 placements (4.9%) · 4/4 models (Cl, GPT, Gm, Px) · 6 of 11 queries · best rank #1 · vs Q2: Q2 9 → Q3 12 (+3)Sierra Nevada — 12 placements (4.9%) · 4/4 models (Cl, GPT, Gm, Px) · 7 of 11 queries · best rank #1 · vs Q2: Q2 9 → Q3 12 (+3)Guinness — 11 placements (4.5%) · 4/4 models (Cl, GPT, Gm, Px) · 4 of 11 queries · best rank #1 · vs Q2: Q2 13 → Q3 11 (-2)Founders — 9 placements (3.7%) · 3/4 models (Cl, GPT, Px) · 5 of 11 queries · best rank #1 · vs Q2: Q2 4 → Q3 9 (+5)Bud Light — 7 placements (2.9%) · 4/4 models (Cl, GPT, Gm, Px) · 3 of 11 queries · best rank #1 · vs Q2: Q2 9 → Q3 7 (-2)Coors Light — 7 placements (2.9%) · 4/4 models (Cl, GPT, Gm, Px) · 3 of 11 queries · best rank #2 · vs Q2: Q2 6 → Q3 7 (+1)Miller Lite — 7 placements (2.9%) · 3/4 models (Cl, GPT, Gm) · 3 of 11 queries · best rank #2 · vs Q2: Q2 7 → Q3 7 (0)Athletic Brewing — 6 placements (2.5%) · 4/4 models (Cl, GPT, Gm, Px) · 2 of 11 queries · best rank #1 · vs Q2: Q2 5 → Q3 6 (+1)Blue Moon — 6 placements (2.5%) · 3/4 models (Cl, GPT, Px) · 4 of 11 queries · best rank #1 · vs Q2: Q2 3 → Q3 6 (+3)Pilsner Urquell — 6 placements (2.5%) · 2/4 models (GPT, Gm) · 4 of 11 queries · best rank #1 · vs Q2: Q2 8 → Q3 6 (-2)Stella Artois — 6 placements (2.5%) · 4/4 models (Cl, GPT, Gm, Px) · 3 of 11 queries · best rank #4 · vs Q2: Q2 10 → Q3 6 (-4)Allagash — 5 placements (2.1%) · 4/4 models (Cl, GPT, Gm, Px) · 2 of 11 queries · best rank #1 · vs Q2: Q2 7 → Q3 5 (-2)Dogfish Head — 5 placements (2.1%) · 3/4 models (Cl, GPT, Px) · 4 of 11 queries · best rank #1 · vs Q2: Q2 0 → Q3 5 (+5)Lagunitas — 5 placements (2.1%) · 2/4 models (GPT, Gm) · 4 of 11 queries · best rank #2 · vs Q2: Q2 4 → Q3 5 (+1)Pacifico — 5 placements (2.1%) · 3/4 models (Cl, GPT, Gm) · 5 of 11 queries · best rank #2 · vs Q2: Q2 4 → Q3 5 (+1)Sam Adams — 5 placements (2.1%) · 4/4 models (Cl, GPT, Gm, Px) · 4 of 11 queries · best rank #2 · vs Q2: Q2 7 → Q3 5 (-2)Weihenstephaner — 5 placements (2.1%) · 3/4 models (Cl, GPT, Gm) · 4 of 11 queries · best rank #1 · vs Q2: Q2 5 → Q3 5 (0)Firestone Walker — 4 placements (1.6%) · 3/4 models (Cl, Gm, Px) · 3 of 11 queries · best rank #1 · vs Q2: Q2 6 → Q3 4 (-2)Michelob Ultra — 4 placements (1.6%) · 3/4 models (Cl, Gm, Px) · 4 of 11 queries · best rank #1 · vs Q2: Q2 4 → Q3 4 (0)Bell's — 3 placements (1.2%) · 2/4 models (GPT, Px) · 3 of 11 queries · best rank #2 · vs Q2: Q2 3 → Q3 3 (0)New Belgium — 3 placements (1.2%) · 3/4 models (Cl, GPT, Px) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #4 · vs Q2: Q2 0 → Q3 3 (+3)Asahi — 2 placements (0.8%) · 2/4 models (Cl, Gm) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #6 · vs Q2: Q2 2 → Q3 2 (0)Brooklyn Brewery — 2 placements (0.8%) · 2/4 models (Gm, Px) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #3 · vs Q2: Q2 1 → Q3 2 (+1)Chimay — 2 placements (0.8%) · 2/4 models (Cl, GPT) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #5 · vs Q2: Q2 3 → Q3 2 (-1)Clausthaler — 2 placements (0.8%) · 2/4 models (Cl, Gm) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #3 · vs Q2: Q2 2 → Q3 2 (0)Goose Island — 2 placements (0.8%) · 2/4 models (GPT, Gm) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #6 · vs Q2: Q2 0 → Q3 2 (+2)Hoegaarden — 2 placements (0.8%) · 2/4 models (GPT, Gm) · 2 of 11 queries · best rank #6 · vs Q2: Q2 1 → Q3 2 (+1)Kona — 2 placements (0.8%) · 2/4 models (GPT, Gm) · 2 of 11 queries · best rank #4 · vs Q2: Q2 2 → Q3 2 (0)Peroni Nastro Azzurro — 2 placements (0.8%) · 2/4 models (Cl, Gm) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #4 · vs Q2: Q2 1 → Q3 2 (+1)Russian River — 2 placements (0.8%) · 2/4 models (Cl, GPT) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #2 · vs Q2: Q2 1 → Q3 2 (+1)Toppling Goliath — 2 placements (0.8%) · 2/4 models (Cl, Px) · 2 of 11 queries · best rank #3 · vs Q2: Q2 0 → Q3 2 (+2)Victory — 2 placements (0.8%) · 1/4 models (Gm) · 2 of 11 queries · best rank #2 · vs Q2: Q2 2 → Q3 2 (0)Ballast Point Even Keel — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (Px) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #3 · vs Q2: Q2 0 → Q3 1 (+1)Big Drop — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (Cl) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #7 · vs Q2: Q2 1 → Q3 1 (0)Bitburger — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (Cl) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #4 · vs Q2: Q2 1 → Q3 1 (0)BrewDog Nanny State — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (GPT) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #4 · vs Q2: Q2 0 → Q3 1 (+1)Brooklyn Brewery Special Effects — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (GPT) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #6 · vs Q2: Q2 0 → Q3 1 (+1)Brouwerij St. Bernardus — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (Px) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #3 · vs Q2: Q2 0 → Q3 1 (+1)Cigar City Florida Cracker Witbier — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (Px) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #6 · vs Q2: Q2 0 → Q3 1 (+1)Clausthaler Dry Hopped Non-Alcoholic — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (GPT) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #3 · vs Q2: Q2 0 → Q3 1 (+1)Coors Banquet — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (Px) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #1 · vs Q2: Q2 2 → Q3 1 (-1)Duvel Moortgat — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (Gm) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #3 · vs Q2: Q2 0 → Q3 1 (+1)Imprint — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (Gm) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #4 · vs Q2: Q2 0 → Q3 1 (+1)Jester King — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (GPT) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #2 · vs Q2: Q2 0 → Q3 1 (+1)Lord Hobo 617 Lager — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (Px) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #3 · vs Q2: Q2 0 → Q3 1 (+1)Mortalis — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (Gm) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #3 · vs Q2: Q2 0 → Q3 1 (+1)New Glarus — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (GPT) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #3 · vs Q2: Q2 0 → Q3 1 (+1)O'Doul's — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (Px) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #5 · vs Q2: Q2 1 → Q3 1 (0)Orval — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (Cl) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #7 · vs Q2: Q2 3 → Q3 1 (-2)Oskar Blues — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (Cl) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #4 · vs Q2: Q2 0 → Q3 1 (+1)Other Half Brewing — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (GPT) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #5 · vs Q2: Q2 0 → Q3 1 (+1)Partake Brewing — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (Gm) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #2 · vs Q2: Q2 0 → Q3 1 (+1)Paulaner — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (Gm) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #5 · vs Q2: Q2 0 → Q3 1 (+1)Perennial — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (Gm) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #7 · vs Q2: Q2 0 → Q3 1 (+1)Peroni — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (GPT) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #5 · vs Q2: Q2 0 → Q3 1 (+1)Reissdorf — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (Gm) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #6 · vs Q2: Q2 0 → Q3 1 (+1)Rochefort — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (Cl) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #5 · vs Q2: Q2 2 → Q3 1 (-1)Rothaus — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (Gm) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #3 · vs Q2: Q2 0 → Q3 1 (+1)Rough Draft Weekday IPA — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (Px) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #4 · vs Q2: Q2 0 → Q3 1 (+1)Sapporo — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (Cl) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #7 · vs Q2: Q2 0 → Q3 1 (+1)Shiner Bock — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (Px) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #2 · vs Q2: Q2 0 → Q3 1 (+1)Stillwater Classique/Brontide — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (Px) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #5 · vs Q2: Q2 0 → Q3 1 (+1)Stone Go To IPA — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (Px) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #2 · vs Q2: Q2 0 → Q3 1 (+1)The Veil — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (Gm) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #5 · vs Q2: Q2 0 → Q3 1 (+1)Topo Chico Hard Seltzer — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (Cl) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #5 · vs Q2: Q2 0 → Q3 1 (+1)Tree House Brewing Company — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (GPT) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #4 · vs Q2: Q2 0 → Q3 1 (+1)Trillium Brewing — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (Cl) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #4 · vs Q2: Q2 0 → Q3 1 (+1)Trumer — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (Gm) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #4 · vs Q2: Q2 0 → Q3 1 (+1)Tröegs — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (Cl) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #4 · vs Q2: Q2 0 → Q3 1 (+1)WeldWerks — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (Px) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #7 · vs Q2: Q2 0 → Q3 1 (+1)Westvleteren — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (Cl) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #1 · vs Q2: Q2 3 → Q3 1 (-2)Yuengling — 1 placement (0.4%) · 1/4 models (Cl) · 1 of 11 queries · best rank #4 · vs Q2: Q2 4 → Q3 1 (-3)11 named twice9% of the shelf40 named once16% of the shelfCorona · 19 +6Heineken · 17 +1Budweiser · 12 +3Modelo · 12 +3Sierra Nevada · 12 +3Guinness · 11 -2Founders · 9 +5Bud Light · 7 -2Coors Light · 7 +1Miller Lite · 7 0Athletic Brewing · 6 +1New Belgium · 3 +3Bell's · 3 0Michelob Ultra · 4 0Firestone Walker · 4 -2Weihenstephaner · 5 0Sam Adams · 5 -2Pacifico · 5 +1Lagunitas · 5 +1Dogfish Head · 5 +5Allagash · 5 -2Stella Artois · 6 -4Pilsner Urquell · 6 -2Blue Moon · 6 +375BRANDS · CHOSEN 243 TIMEScohort holds 66.7%
In the current ARA IndexNot currently in the ARA Index — shaded by rank, darkest = chosen least often
All 75 brands — the annotated ranking
#NameChosenShareModelsBestΔ vs Q2
1Corona197.8%4/4#1+6
2Heineken177.0%4/4#1+1
3Budweiser124.9%4/4#1+3
4Modelo124.9%4/4#1+3
5Sierra Nevada124.9%4/4#1+3
6Guinness114.5%4/4#1-2
7Founders93.7%3/4#1+5
8Bud Light72.9%4/4#1-2
9Coors Light72.9%4/4#2+1
10Miller Lite72.9%3/4#20
11Athletic Brewing62.5%4/4#1+1
12Blue Moon62.5%3/4#1+3
13Pilsner Urquell62.5%2/4#1-2
14Stella Artois62.5%4/4#4-4
15Allagash52.1%4/4#1-2
16Dogfish Head52.1%3/4#1+5
17Lagunitas52.1%2/4#2+1
18Pacifico52.1%3/4#2+1
19Sam Adams52.1%4/4#2-2
20Weihenstephaner52.1%3/4#10
21Firestone Walker41.6%3/4#1-2
22Michelob Ultra41.6%3/4#10
23Bell's31.2%2/4#20
24New Belgium31.2%3/4#4+3
25Asahi20.8%2/4#60
26Brooklyn Brewery20.8%2/4#3+1
27Chimay20.8%2/4#5-1
28Clausthaler20.8%2/4#30
29Goose Island20.8%2/4#6+2
30Hoegaarden20.8%2/4#6+1
31Kona20.8%2/4#40
32Peroni Nastro Azzurro20.8%2/4#4+1
33Russian River20.8%2/4#2+1
34Toppling Goliath20.8%2/4#3+2
35Victory20.8%1/4#20
36Ballast Point Even Keel10.4%1/4#3+1
37Big Drop10.4%1/4#70
38Bitburger10.4%1/4#40
39BrewDog Nanny State10.4%1/4#4+1
40Brooklyn Brewery Special Effects10.4%1/4#6+1
41Brouwerij St. Bernardus10.4%1/4#3+1
42Cigar City Florida Cracker Witbier10.4%1/4#6+1
43Clausthaler Dry Hopped Non-Alcoholic10.4%1/4#3+1
44Coors Banquet10.4%1/4#1-1
45Duvel Moortgat10.4%1/4#3+1
46Imprint10.4%1/4#4+1
47Jester King10.4%1/4#2+1
48Lord Hobo 617 Lager10.4%1/4#3+1
49Mortalis10.4%1/4#3+1
50New Glarus10.4%1/4#3+1
51O'Doul's10.4%1/4#50
52Orval10.4%1/4#7-2
53Oskar Blues10.4%1/4#4+1
54Other Half Brewing10.4%1/4#5+1
55Partake Brewing10.4%1/4#2+1
56Paulaner10.4%1/4#5+1
57Perennial10.4%1/4#7+1
58Peroni10.4%1/4#5+1
59Reissdorf10.4%1/4#6+1
60Rochefort10.4%1/4#5-1
61Rothaus10.4%1/4#3+1
62Rough Draft Weekday IPA10.4%1/4#4+1
63Sapporo10.4%1/4#7+1
64Shiner Bock10.4%1/4#2+1
65Stillwater Classique/Brontide10.4%1/4#5+1
66Stone Go To IPA10.4%1/4#2+1
67The Veil10.4%1/4#5+1
68Topo Chico Hard Seltzer10.4%1/4#5+1
69Tree House Brewing Company10.4%1/4#4+1
70Trillium Brewing10.4%1/4#4+1
71Trumer10.4%1/4#4+1
72Tröegs10.4%1/4#4+1
73WeldWerks10.4%1/4#7+1
74Westvleteren10.4%1/4#1-2
75Yuengling10.4%1/4#4-3
ARA · ALGORITHM READINESS ANALYSIS · ARACO.AI — 4 models × 11 drinker questions, top 7 answers per cell. Q2 and Q3 ran the identical battery, verified query by query, and both quarters were resolved to brands by the same alias rules — so a delta is movement in the answers, not a difference in processing. MEASURING AI TRUST IN BRANDS.
Naming variants merged before counting: none. Query counts for merged brands are upper bounds.